Whilst freight rates have improved marginally from the extreme lows seen over the middle of the year, the entire container shipping industry remains under significant pressure, according to Maritime Strategies International.
As most liner companies are now breaking even, with weaker lines still probably in a loss-making position, the situation is even worse for charter owners, with vessel earnings marooned below operating costs for most mid-sized vessel classes.
“Whilst the operator side of the liner industry continues to be wracked by convulsions and consolidation, the tonnage provider space seems to be slowly sinking ever deeper into the mire,” James Frew, Senior Analyst at MSI, said.
“Containership tonnage providers are at the bottom of the food chain, as ultimately liner companies can intermediate the supply of liner shipping capacity to shippers, and push excess capacity back onto the charter owners,” he added.
In the light of the current oversupply, and a demand environment which fluctuates between uncertain and disappointing, the industry is taking what evasive action it can on the supply side, according to MSI. September 2016 saw the second-highest monthly total ever for containership demolitions, while new orders were confined to just three ships totalling 6,000 TEU.
The liner operator landscape continues to respond to dire circumstances, but plans by the three Japanese liner companies to merge their operations reflects a trend that asks questions of the remaining midsized operators.
“In broad terms, we regard the liner companies with sufficient scale to compete on a global level being Maersk, MSC, CMA CGM, COSCOCS, Hapag Lloyd, the Japanese and Evergreen. Where this leaves other companies is something of a parlour game but further consolidation appears inevitable. In the new world of consolidated liner companies it is increasingly hard to see a future for mid-sized lines,” Frew noted.