DNV published Shipping 2020 last year to communicate the results of a comprehensive simulation modelling exercise covering the world fleet up to 2020.
Based on fuel prices, technology costs and specific shipowner characteristics, the model explores the technologies with the highest net present value that ensure compliance with the relevant environmental requirements.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gktmzbkv4NM
Related:
DNV: The World’s Fleet Composition Is Going to Change as We Head for 2020
DNV: Shipping 2020
DNV, March 14, 2013